RIM blackberrys maker Lower profits

this article states that there is a lower profit outlook for blackberry maker RIM. Im wondering if the blackberry touchscreen is not making as big an impact as previously thought. Most people who will buy one of those (people in the states) are on contracts, and with money tight, no one gonna upgrade till end of 2 year phone plan. I have nearly 1.5 years left!! So i don't think im gonna be getting this. This was quite a miscalculation on their part.